WEBVTT 00:16.469 --> 00:18.469 The next two weeks , we're gonna be 00:18.469 --> 00:20.247 talking about some published um 00:21.139 --> 00:23.680 strategic uh documents , strategic 00:23.690 --> 00:25.520 visions of the Air Force that 00:25.530 --> 00:28.870 specifically call out consciousness . 00:28.879 --> 00:31.500 Um Talk about maybe this whole 00:31.510 --> 00:33.566 consciousness business can add value 00:33.566 --> 00:35.732 for autonomous systems . So we'll talk 00:35.732 --> 00:37.790 about that informally uh informally 00:37.799 --> 00:40.590 this week , next week will also be 00:40.599 --> 00:42.979 informal . But we're having uh Act 00:42.990 --> 00:45.799 three is um the Air Force's Autonomy 00:45.810 --> 00:48.189 Capability Team Act three's Chief 00:48.200 --> 00:50.240 Technology Officer , Doctor Mike 00:50.250 --> 00:53.759 Mendenhall will come and talk um more 00:53.770 --> 00:56.319 specifics about the types of things 00:56.720 --> 00:59.180 here in Space Force . Thank you . Uh 00:59.189 --> 01:01.500 The different types of things like the 01:01.509 --> 01:03.620 different kinds of flexibilities that 01:03.620 --> 01:05.842 we'd be looking for where that we think 01:05.842 --> 01:07.953 that consciousness might give us some 01:07.953 --> 01:10.176 hints , the types of flexibilities that 01:10.176 --> 01:12.287 we're missing in autonomous systems . 01:12.287 --> 01:14.900 But we want in autonomous systems and 01:14.910 --> 01:17.099 um a lot of things are written out in 01:17.110 --> 01:20.160 autonomous horizons . Volume two , I've , 01:20.169 --> 01:22.849 I've uh went through it again and I 01:22.860 --> 01:25.389 still find it's um you know , maybe 01:25.400 --> 01:28.410 it's not correct in all accounts , but 01:28.419 --> 01:31.080 I think it's a pretty good outline of 01:31.089 --> 01:33.200 um the different areas that we should 01:33.200 --> 01:35.200 be thinking about . Uh looking at , 01:35.200 --> 01:37.422 looking at the different things that we 01:37.422 --> 01:37.370 talk about in this meeting . So I'll 01:37.379 --> 01:41.120 try to walk through um some of those 01:41.129 --> 01:43.620 things today just to kind of prep us 01:43.629 --> 01:45.959 for , for a more in depth conversation 01:46.980 --> 01:49.430 next week . Again , all of this is 01:49.440 --> 01:52.370 pretty informal . Uh After that , we've 01:52.379 --> 01:54.519 got some different talks from some 01:54.529 --> 01:56.529 colleagues who've been coming for a 01:56.529 --> 01:59.279 long time to our meetings . Uh and then 01:59.290 --> 02:02.599 going into October . Now , I think 02:02.610 --> 02:04.777 we're gonna try to start to talk about 02:04.777 --> 02:06.999 integrated information theory and reach 02:06.999 --> 02:09.054 out to some scholars in that field . 02:09.054 --> 02:11.388 There's a new new iteration of that out . 02:11.388 --> 02:14.350 Iit 4.0 And so we'll try to get nitty 02:14.360 --> 02:16.304 and gritty in terms of what's been 02:16.304 --> 02:18.460 updated since the last iteration and 02:18.470 --> 02:21.419 how that might add value to um 02:21.429 --> 02:23.619 accomplishing some of the , the needs 02:23.630 --> 02:25.797 of the Air Force that we'll talk about 02:25.797 --> 02:27.741 over the next couple of weeks . So 02:27.741 --> 02:27.160 that's sort of the calendar of what's 02:27.169 --> 02:29.669 gonna be happening the next month and 02:29.679 --> 02:32.020 where we're looking towards after that . 02:33.380 --> 02:36.179 Um What else do I want to say ? 02:37.600 --> 02:40.389 Oh , so yeah , this is gonna be very uh 02:40.399 --> 02:42.510 informal . I don't have all that much 02:42.510 --> 02:44.621 content planned . I kind of took some 02:44.621 --> 02:46.788 key figures from the reading this week 02:46.788 --> 02:48.955 Autonomous Horizons volume two and put 02:48.955 --> 02:51.121 it into a slide deck . I could talk to 02:51.121 --> 02:53.343 it , but I'm hoping that this can be um 02:53.343 --> 02:57.169 conversational and in that spirit , uh 02:57.179 --> 02:59.779 we often like to start these kinds of 02:59.789 --> 03:02.490 meetings with a BYOQ a bring your own 03:02.500 --> 03:05.320 question . So there was some email 03:05.330 --> 03:08.020 traffic I was following uh between Cap 03:08.029 --> 03:09.973 and Mike . I don't know if there's 03:09.973 --> 03:12.029 anything in there you guys wanted to 03:12.029 --> 03:14.085 voice . I see , Doug has a hand up , 03:14.085 --> 03:16.307 has his hand up and all are welcome for 03:16.307 --> 03:18.473 this . Bring your own question today . 03:18.473 --> 03:20.585 Burning questions about consciousness 03:20.585 --> 03:22.696 from your , your readings this week . 03:22.696 --> 03:26.479 Doug . Hi there um giving 03:26.529 --> 03:30.520 the neural way of the world with 03:30.529 --> 03:34.470 your background , Kevin . Um But from 03:34.479 --> 03:38.050 that , expanding out to everything , 03:38.940 --> 03:41.789 I do mean everything would be fun to 03:41.800 --> 03:44.600 take 10 minutes somewhere along the way 03:44.610 --> 03:47.720 in the near future and say , what do we 03:47.729 --> 03:51.029 mean ? What do we really mean by 03:51.039 --> 03:54.729 consciousness ? It can mean so 03:54.740 --> 03:57.059 many things , but talk about it in 03:57.250 --> 04:00.449 general terms as opposed to 04:00.619 --> 04:03.729 everybody throwing it out to $10 words 04:03.759 --> 04:06.270 from the different disciplines , we all 04:06.279 --> 04:09.300 bring together as a team because I've 04:09.309 --> 04:12.149 loved what we have done so far . But 04:12.160 --> 04:14.271 now I'm saying to myself , what do we 04:14.271 --> 04:17.380 mean by consciousness ? And does it 04:17.390 --> 04:20.440 happen when it doesn't appear to have 04:20.450 --> 04:23.320 the attention of what memory and 04:23.329 --> 04:26.820 attention seem to do ? But yet I still 04:26.829 --> 04:29.549 would argue things are going on in 04:29.559 --> 04:32.660 memory that we are conscious of , but 04:32.670 --> 04:35.369 we are not attending to , I'll stop 04:35.380 --> 04:38.450 there . That's I agree with Doug . 04:38.459 --> 04:40.799 We're talking about building conscious 04:40.809 --> 04:43.142 air force systems . What does that mean ? 04:46.510 --> 04:50.160 Well , what I can say is what um 04:50.200 --> 04:52.589 Autonomous Horizons . Volume two says 04:52.600 --> 04:54.822 it means , and I actually think in that 04:54.822 --> 04:57.044 document , in different sections of the 04:57.044 --> 04:59.100 document , you can feel that sort of 04:59.100 --> 05:02.010 tension of um exactly what Doug was 05:02.019 --> 05:03.852 talking about , which I think is 05:03.852 --> 05:06.019 exactly where the fields at , which is 05:06.019 --> 05:08.170 in short , we don't know for sure the 05:08.179 --> 05:10.123 answer to this , but we are at the 05:10.123 --> 05:12.540 forefront of those discussions of does 05:12.549 --> 05:14.869 it , do you need attention ? Can what's 05:14.880 --> 05:17.190 happening outside of attention ? The 05:17.200 --> 05:19.422 way we've defined consciousness in here 05:19.422 --> 05:23.190 is um uh the generation of quality , 05:23.200 --> 05:26.649 the generation of experience , uh uh a 05:26.660 --> 05:28.529 feeling of what it is like , but 05:28.540 --> 05:30.850 there's definitely this tension which I 05:30.859 --> 05:32.748 think we'll walk through in these 05:32.748 --> 05:34.748 slides if we get to them . If not , 05:34.748 --> 05:37.910 that's OK of um uh uh what ned block 05:37.920 --> 05:39.809 calls access consciousness versus 05:39.809 --> 05:42.031 phenomenal consciousness we've talked a 05:42.031 --> 05:45.250 lot about in here . And um yeah , II , 05:45.260 --> 05:48.970 I don't have a concrete um definition 05:48.980 --> 05:51.091 besides the generation of qualia is , 05:51.091 --> 05:53.679 is what we're stating is what we want . 05:53.690 --> 05:55.912 And then I'm gonna kind of talk through 05:56.140 --> 05:58.362 uh a little bit of what the limitations 05:58.362 --> 06:01.119 are and how these words have been used . 06:01.130 --> 06:03.519 Um But Doug , I mean , it's hard to 06:03.529 --> 06:05.807 give a , a really short answer to that . 06:05.807 --> 06:07.918 Besides , I find value in thinking of 06:07.918 --> 06:09.751 this access consciousness versus 06:09.751 --> 06:11.807 phenomenal consciousness and , and a 06:11.807 --> 06:15.380 lot of people like uh Mike Ensley Dan 06:15.390 --> 06:19.170 Dennett , Michael Graziano , um who've 06:19.179 --> 06:21.401 come and presented at our meetings this 06:21.401 --> 06:23.512 week , I talked a lot about this kind 06:23.512 --> 06:26.309 of uh access consciousness in Medlock 06:26.320 --> 06:29.950 terms or the , the uh quality of self . 06:29.959 --> 06:33.339 Um And I submit , they've left out the 06:33.350 --> 06:36.160 what it is like . And so uh maybe the 06:36.170 --> 06:37.948 answer is trying to bring those 06:37.948 --> 06:40.003 together . Um But I , I don't know , 06:40.010 --> 06:42.343 that's just a little bit more detail to , 06:42.343 --> 06:44.510 to your question , but it's not really 06:44.510 --> 06:46.288 an answer doug , right ? But my 06:46.288 --> 06:49.000 question has a certain modality to it 06:49.010 --> 06:52.290 for all of us , with our diversity of 06:52.299 --> 06:55.660 thought and educational training to 06:55.670 --> 06:59.140 think of this . Now , in explaining it 06:59.149 --> 07:02.160 for the common human , as opposed to 07:02.170 --> 07:05.239 using our $10 words from our 07:05.250 --> 07:08.339 disciplines , you know , all these big 07:08.350 --> 07:10.500 words from our different ways of 07:10.510 --> 07:12.500 training , whether we're 07:12.510 --> 07:15.410 neuroscientists or A I scientists or 07:15.420 --> 07:18.839 whatever . Oh , also a second 07:18.850 --> 07:21.899 topic of , uh thinking first has 07:21.940 --> 07:24.809 happened . I'm gonna contact switch . I 07:24.820 --> 07:27.130 don't know if Cassie sent it out 07:27.140 --> 07:30.529 yesterday . But there is a , an event 07:30.540 --> 07:33.609 that is uh something everybody will 07:33.619 --> 07:36.730 want to enjoy because it's not just 07:36.739 --> 07:39.690 deep science . It's about , well , the 07:39.700 --> 07:42.970 title of the event is A I 07:43.299 --> 07:47.230 for Humanity and the 07:47.239 --> 07:49.461 thinkers , I don't call them speakers . 07:49.461 --> 07:51.589 The thinkers . I think everybody here 07:51.600 --> 07:53.750 would love to hear from them . By the 07:53.760 --> 07:56.130 way , one of the thinkers is our own 07:56.140 --> 08:00.130 cap . But did , did Cathy get something 08:00.140 --> 08:02.730 else ? She did Doug ? It didn't , I , I 08:02.739 --> 08:04.850 should have , um , advertised that at 08:04.850 --> 08:07.072 the beginning . I do have that flyer of 08:07.072 --> 08:09.017 the big questions in A I and I saw 08:09.017 --> 08:11.072 Carla's on it caps , you know , Eric 08:11.072 --> 08:13.350 Horvitz , Jan Laco . That's gonna be a 08:13.359 --> 08:17.029 great man . Tom Mitchell . Thank you . 08:17.040 --> 08:20.709 Um Oh , here we go . We can 08:20.720 --> 08:23.899 um attach this to the quest invite for 08:23.910 --> 08:26.132 next week just to uh get the word out . 08:26.820 --> 08:29.230 But this is really all about the title 08:29.239 --> 08:31.429 that's highlighted in the bright white 08:31.440 --> 08:34.989 letters A I for Humanity . 08:35.619 --> 08:38.309 And these people could cle clearly go 08:38.320 --> 08:42.190 very , very deep . Each one is serious 08:42.200 --> 08:45.830 world Class . But instead we wanna talk 08:45.840 --> 08:48.559 about what we can do to help humanity 08:48.570 --> 08:51.739 people . So it's gonna be slightly 08:51.750 --> 08:54.280 different . For example , Tom Mitchell , 08:54.289 --> 08:56.900 he speaks at the World Economic Forum , 08:56.909 --> 08:59.700 he speaks at the UN . They wanna hear 08:59.710 --> 09:03.239 what is this thing called A I ? So 09:03.250 --> 09:05.580 we're already thinking about what each 09:05.590 --> 09:08.260 person is gonna argue about without 09:08.270 --> 09:11.940 going into the deep end . And the $10 09:11.950 --> 09:14.599 words , this will be probably the best 09:14.609 --> 09:18.469 ever . Uh big question of A I , since 09:18.479 --> 09:20.423 the whole world wants to know it , 09:20.423 --> 09:22.700 we're gonna try and talk about it . You 09:22.710 --> 09:24.900 know , there's so much to it . But uh 09:24.909 --> 09:28.609 it's a good , I used to stub your toe 09:28.619 --> 09:30.909 if you want to say it'll be on 09:30.919 --> 09:34.510 Halloween , it works out that way 09:35.000 --> 09:37.770 and it's two o'clock in the afternoon , 09:37.780 --> 09:40.570 Eastern Standard Time and it's like we 09:40.580 --> 09:42.636 always do , these are not speakers , 09:42.636 --> 09:45.530 it's an open forum for cap and the 09:45.539 --> 09:47.929 other five people to argue with each 09:47.940 --> 09:50.419 other . And then at the end , we'll 09:50.429 --> 09:52.540 have another 10 or 15 minutes for the 09:52.540 --> 09:55.900 audience to raise questions . But it's 09:56.059 --> 09:59.419 already created a buzz because of the 09:59.429 --> 10:02.119 real focus of this event is about 10:02.130 --> 10:05.200 humanity . Yeah , that's great , Doug , 10:05.210 --> 10:07.432 thanks for bringing that up . Thank you 10:07.432 --> 10:09.654 for everybody listening . You know , so 10:09.654 --> 10:11.909 we wanna spread the word . And uh the 10:11.919 --> 10:14.141 last time we held something like this , 10:14.141 --> 10:17.309 we had an attendance was uh 1100 people 10:17.320 --> 10:21.159 in Zoom . Uh Robert , I saw you had 10:21.169 --> 10:23.119 your hand up . Maybe that was in 10:23.130 --> 10:25.200 response to defining consciousness 10:25.210 --> 10:27.377 which I stumbled through as , as , you 10:27.377 --> 10:29.719 know , raw experience or something like 10:29.729 --> 10:33.320 that . Can you hear me ? Ok . Yes , sir . 10:33.960 --> 10:36.127 I was just gonna mention you guys know 10:36.127 --> 10:38.349 much more about consciousness than I do 10:38.349 --> 10:40.460 I think . But I've been drilling down 10:40.460 --> 10:43.239 on it for uh in a uh particular focused 10:43.250 --> 10:45.909 way and I'll offer to present to you 10:45.919 --> 10:48.141 guys in the near future . I'm not quite 10:48.141 --> 10:51.770 there yet , but um I'm just gonna throw 10:51.780 --> 10:53.947 it out that the stuff I've looked at , 10:53.947 --> 10:56.590 there's at least 32 is a number . I 10:56.599 --> 10:59.190 remember various different theories of 10:59.200 --> 11:01.311 consciousness that are major theories 11:01.311 --> 11:04.530 in the literature , over 32 different 11:04.539 --> 11:06.761 theories of consciousness . So it seems 11:06.761 --> 11:08.983 like we're having a hell of a hard time 11:08.983 --> 11:11.039 getting a hand on even defining it , 11:11.039 --> 11:13.039 let alone doing research on it . So 11:13.039 --> 11:16.750 it's not surprising that that uh people 11:16.760 --> 11:20.219 go back and forth and so on . Um , over . 11:22.659 --> 11:24.659 Yeah , I would love whenever you're 11:24.659 --> 11:26.603 ready for that presentation . That 11:26.603 --> 11:29.500 would be great . Robert . I see you 11:29.510 --> 11:31.621 turn your camera on . I don't know if 11:31.621 --> 11:33.843 that was on purpose . So C A has , uh , 11:33.843 --> 11:35.899 has the correct answer . I think I'm 11:35.899 --> 11:38.960 looking for here , please . So let me , 11:38.969 --> 11:41.191 uh , I'll actually , I'll try to do two 11:41.191 --> 11:43.358 questions at once . So you pointed out 11:43.358 --> 11:46.630 that ancient Mike and I Mike Young and 11:46.640 --> 11:48.862 I have been uh bantering back and forth 11:48.862 --> 11:51.719 this week . Um And he correctly as 11:51.729 --> 11:55.210 always , uh you know , tries to pin me 11:55.219 --> 11:58.710 down on intelligence and consciousness 11:58.719 --> 12:00.886 and not to conflate the two . And he's 12:00.886 --> 12:02.997 absolutely right . I don't want to do 12:02.997 --> 12:04.941 that . So if you want me to define 12:04.941 --> 12:07.052 consciousness , I'm going to start by 12:07.052 --> 12:08.608 giving you my definition of 12:08.608 --> 12:10.890 intelligence , which leads to , you 12:10.900 --> 12:13.122 know , my definition of consciousness , 12:13.122 --> 12:15.067 which leads to why I tie those two 12:15.067 --> 12:17.122 things together . OK . So let me hit 12:17.122 --> 12:18.789 those three points . So first 12:18.789 --> 12:22.419 intelligence is the ability of a system 12:22.429 --> 12:26.119 to uh create knowledge . And , and I 12:26.130 --> 12:28.019 use that word knowledge , not the 12:28.019 --> 12:30.352 knowledge , data , information , wisdom , 12:30.352 --> 12:32.574 not in that taxonomy , but knowledge is 12:32.574 --> 12:34.741 just the word I'm using to capture the 12:34.741 --> 12:36.741 idea of , of this , this structured 12:36.741 --> 12:38.519 representation which allows the 12:38.519 --> 12:40.797 organism to create meaning . All right . 12:40.797 --> 12:43.019 So I don't care if it's rules , I don't 12:43.019 --> 12:45.352 care if it's connections and neural map . 12:45.352 --> 12:47.574 It doesn't matter to me . It's what the 12:47.574 --> 12:49.574 entity uses to create mean and thus 12:49.574 --> 12:51.797 decide what is the state of the world , 12:51.797 --> 12:53.908 maybe what action to take . But , but 12:53.908 --> 12:56.074 intelligence is all about this ability 12:56.074 --> 12:55.900 to create knowledge and store it away 12:55.909 --> 12:58.020 in some manner where you can bring it 12:58.020 --> 12:59.909 to bear when appropriate . That's 12:59.909 --> 13:02.131 intelligence . Now , separate from that 13:02.131 --> 13:04.187 break break , don't connect it yet . 13:04.187 --> 13:06.880 Consciousness as ex exactly what Kevin 13:06.890 --> 13:09.140 said , I , I'm a , I'm a student of , 13:09.150 --> 13:11.059 of John Searle . Consciousness is 13:11.070 --> 13:12.959 nothing more than the creation of 13:12.959 --> 13:15.109 qualia . Now that doesn't really help 13:15.119 --> 13:17.341 you much because what the hell is a Q . 13:17.510 --> 13:19.989 So you know , this is where we always 13:20.000 --> 13:22.222 run into trouble because all you can do 13:22.222 --> 13:24.167 is point to examples and that's OK 13:24.167 --> 13:26.278 because all of us have and can relate 13:26.278 --> 13:28.500 to those examples . Let's start there . 13:28.500 --> 13:30.556 So when I use the quality word , you 13:30.556 --> 13:32.444 know , when you look at , at this 13:32.444 --> 13:34.556 shield that my son gave me some years 13:34.556 --> 13:36.722 back , you know , the red on it evokes 13:36.722 --> 13:38.722 a mental image uh in your , in your 13:38.722 --> 13:40.833 mind , you have this mental image and 13:40.833 --> 13:42.833 there's this distinction of the red 13:42.833 --> 13:45.056 versus the blue versus the white . OK ? 13:45.056 --> 13:47.167 Those those discerned differences are 13:47.167 --> 13:49.222 different qualia which are evoked in 13:49.222 --> 13:51.479 your internal representation as a 13:51.489 --> 13:53.750 result of some external stimulus coming 13:53.760 --> 13:55.760 through your sensors . And then you 13:55.760 --> 13:57.593 have this as Kevin pointed out a 13:57.593 --> 13:59.704 conscious experience , the primitives 13:59.704 --> 14:01.982 of those conscious experiences are Kia . 14:01.982 --> 14:04.316 OK ? So I I gave you intelligence . Now , 14:04.316 --> 14:06.538 I gave you consciousness . Now , wait , 14:06.538 --> 14:08.704 wait 11 more thing and then , then you 14:08.704 --> 14:10.816 can beat me up , Mike . So the uh the 14:10.816 --> 14:12.816 third point here is that in , in my 14:12.816 --> 14:15.940 current model , the whole cash value of 14:15.950 --> 14:19.049 consciousness is that experience is how 14:19.059 --> 14:21.710 you structure the knowledge so you can 14:21.719 --> 14:23.663 later bring it to bear . Thus , it 14:23.663 --> 14:25.700 brings the ability to have robust 14:25.710 --> 14:27.766 intelligence . So that's sort of the 14:27.766 --> 14:29.988 three steps . Go ahead . Ancient Mike , 14:33.409 --> 14:36.330 sir , you're muted , Mike . We didn't 14:36.340 --> 14:38.507 catch any of that . You , you got your 14:38.507 --> 14:40.510 mic off microphone off 14:42.780 --> 14:45.058 Mike . Mike Young , you're still muted . 14:46.309 --> 14:49.460 There we go . How about now ? OK . I I 14:49.469 --> 14:51.469 thought I heard you give a circular 14:51.469 --> 14:53.691 definition explaining , defining one by 14:53.691 --> 14:57.539 the other one . You said , what , 14:57.549 --> 14:59.771 which one creates knowledge and meaning 14:59.771 --> 15:02.450 that's intelligent , right ? Knowledge 15:02.460 --> 15:04.869 is the ability of an entity to create 15:04.880 --> 15:07.049 knowledge and you use the knowledge to 15:07.059 --> 15:09.460 create meaning . OK ? Now what I mean , 15:09.580 --> 15:12.049 consciousness , you said consciousness 15:12.059 --> 15:15.919 is meaning the 15:15.929 --> 15:18.151 two terms in , in terms of each other , 15:18.530 --> 15:20.752 they're , they're absolutely circular . 15:20.752 --> 15:22.974 All words are defined in terms of other 15:22.974 --> 15:25.086 words , you can't get around that . I 15:25.086 --> 15:25.080 mean , that's sort of the way that's 15:25.090 --> 15:27.419 why we're limited . But I think if you , 15:27.760 --> 15:30.489 if you , if you try not to , you know , 15:30.640 --> 15:32.807 in a legal sense , parse the words too 15:32.809 --> 15:35.219 carefully , you can get the sequences 15:35.229 --> 15:37.285 of thoughts that I'm having here and 15:37.285 --> 15:39.285 that is you have entities which are 15:39.285 --> 15:41.396 able to create knowledge which allows 15:41.396 --> 15:43.451 them to do things more efficiently , 15:43.451 --> 15:45.618 better , maybe do them at all . And oh 15:45.618 --> 15:47.562 by the way , we're also making the 15:47.562 --> 15:49.729 premise that consciousness contributes 15:49.729 --> 15:51.896 to that creation of the knowledge . In 15:51.896 --> 15:53.896 fact , in my opinion , it's the key 15:53.896 --> 15:55.785 breakthrough nature had in how to 15:55.785 --> 15:57.729 structure its knowledge so that it 15:57.729 --> 15:59.951 could make robust , flexible critters . 15:59.951 --> 16:01.896 And so that's , that's the way I'm 16:01.896 --> 16:04.118 tying the two is that in , in , in that 16:04.118 --> 16:06.909 sense that that is the , the , the 16:06.919 --> 16:09.419 structure by which all your memories 16:09.429 --> 16:13.190 are uh scaffolded on . And , and thus , 16:13.200 --> 16:15.200 that is the source of your robust , 16:15.200 --> 16:17.690 flexible intelligence . I don't think 16:17.700 --> 16:19.756 you have to find consciousness , but 16:19.756 --> 16:21.700 I'll leave it there . I mean , you 16:21.700 --> 16:23.859 define it as meaning when you define 16:23.869 --> 16:26.369 intelligence as creating meaning . No , 16:26.380 --> 16:28.580 no , I I define consciousness exactly 16:28.590 --> 16:31.200 as Kevin did and as John Searle does as 16:31.210 --> 16:34.299 this , this inner experience . So , you 16:34.309 --> 16:36.476 know , it's the redness and the shield 16:36.476 --> 16:38.880 versus the blueness . It's , it's the 16:38.890 --> 16:40.960 annoyance I have when I , when I'm 16:40.969 --> 16:43.191 playing with my grandsons and the , and 16:43.191 --> 16:45.302 the love I have when I'm playing with 16:45.302 --> 16:47.358 my granddaughter , you know , so all 16:47.358 --> 16:49.691 the pieces of that internal experiences , 16:49.691 --> 16:51.469 those are individual qualia and 16:51.469 --> 16:53.636 consciousness is the creation of those 16:53.636 --> 16:55.691 experiences , qualia . And so that's 16:55.691 --> 16:57.580 what consciousness is . Now , the 16:57.580 --> 16:59.802 question becomes is , you know , why do 16:59.802 --> 17:02.080 you have that ? What is its cash value ? 17:02.080 --> 17:04.136 And what I'm suggesting to you is it 17:04.136 --> 17:06.191 cash value ? Is it takes all of your 17:06.191 --> 17:08.413 exper everything that's going on in the 17:08.413 --> 17:10.247 world and puts it in a form this 17:10.247 --> 17:12.469 sensory motor world model with emotions 17:12.469 --> 17:14.636 and moods and senses of agencies . And 17:14.636 --> 17:16.802 that , that representation is what you 17:16.802 --> 17:19.025 use to store away as memories which you 17:19.025 --> 17:21.358 then is the source of your intelligence . 17:22.410 --> 17:24.969 I'll be quiet after this but you still 17:24.979 --> 17:27.312 haven't said why you need consciousness . 17:27.312 --> 17:29.257 Everything you describe , I , I do 17:29.257 --> 17:31.423 regularly with computers . I represent 17:31.423 --> 17:33.423 knowledge . I use that knowledge to 17:33.423 --> 17:36.750 change values . Uh I don't see where 17:36.760 --> 17:38.927 consciousness comes to play , but I'll 17:38.927 --> 17:41.204 let it go and never let it , let it go . 17:41.204 --> 17:43.316 Mike don't ever let it go . The point 17:43.316 --> 17:45.149 I'm trying to make to you is the 17:45.149 --> 17:47.149 conscious , the century motor world 17:47.149 --> 17:49.204 model which we all experience as our 17:49.204 --> 17:51.093 conscious lives . You know , that 17:51.093 --> 17:53.149 representation is in fact the key to 17:53.149 --> 17:55.204 the way you represent your knowledge 17:55.204 --> 17:57.260 that you store away . That's why you 17:57.260 --> 17:58.982 have consciousness and it puts 17:58.982 --> 18:00.982 everything in this integrated world 18:00.982 --> 18:03.204 model . Now , you're absolutely right . 18:03.204 --> 18:05.482 I can create an integrated world model . 18:05.482 --> 18:05.464 In fact , we , we do that all the time 18:05.474 --> 18:08.459 when we make A I . But what we missed 18:08.469 --> 18:10.339 was we didn't try to capture the 18:10.349 --> 18:12.359 structure of the qualia of the 18:12.369 --> 18:14.536 conscious experience . And that's what 18:14.536 --> 18:16.979 S3 Q theory is all about . Figure out 18:16.989 --> 18:18.767 the engineering aspects of this 18:18.767 --> 18:20.933 conscious experience . You put that in 18:20.933 --> 18:22.822 your A I world models . And now , 18:22.822 --> 18:24.878 although they won't feel the way you 18:24.878 --> 18:27.045 feel , they won't have Q like you have 18:27.045 --> 18:28.989 our hope is that they will be more 18:28.989 --> 18:32.900 robustly intelligent . So 18:32.910 --> 18:34.521 you introduced a new type of 18:34.521 --> 18:36.743 representation . I still don't see it , 18:36.743 --> 18:38.854 but I'll go out for the moment . I'll 18:38.854 --> 18:39.854 pass . OK . 18:42.589 --> 18:44.478 What was that last point , Mike ? 18:47.599 --> 18:49.488 I don't see anything that I can't 18:49.488 --> 18:51.920 represent in a computer . He's saying 18:51.930 --> 18:53.819 there's some , you know , there's 18:53.819 --> 18:55.874 quality of representation that can't 18:55.874 --> 18:58.041 get represented and I wanna know why I 18:58.041 --> 19:01.859 wanna know what it is . Yeah , I , I uh 19:02.810 --> 19:04.977 I think when I start to dig down these 19:04.977 --> 19:07.088 things in terms of reading autonomous 19:07.088 --> 19:09.829 horizons , I feel like a lot of a , I , 19:09.839 --> 19:12.189 people think we're a lot closer and 19:12.199 --> 19:14.366 might even have to start to admit that 19:14.530 --> 19:16.752 the way , think they think about things 19:16.752 --> 19:18.760 that these machines are already 19:18.790 --> 19:21.068 conscious that , you know , that might , 19:21.068 --> 19:23.290 I , I , which I , I don't uh that's too 19:23.290 --> 19:25.739 far away from it for me , but um maybe 19:25.750 --> 19:27.694 we'll back into that today when we 19:27.694 --> 19:29.694 start to walk through some of these 19:29.694 --> 19:32.030 things more . Uh I think uh Doug and 19:32.040 --> 19:34.550 then uh Robert . OK . Great . 19:36.010 --> 19:39.140 Imagine if you will . This has happened 19:39.150 --> 19:41.380 more than once . Uh and this is 19:41.390 --> 19:44.859 relative to Cap and Mike in this 19:44.869 --> 19:48.369 current conversation . So we're sitting 19:48.380 --> 19:52.219 in a uh weekly thinking session 19:52.229 --> 19:55.020 with Marvin Minsky and several 19:55.030 --> 19:58.119 wonderful phd students . And more than 19:58.130 --> 20:00.540 once Marvin would turn to the students 20:00.550 --> 20:02.661 and say , well , we have two or three 20:02.661 --> 20:05.250 good series , do one more . 20:06.420 --> 20:08.430 There is no one way to think about 20:08.439 --> 20:11.750 consciousness ? Nor is there one way to 20:11.760 --> 20:14.369 think about choir ? We probably will 20:14.380 --> 20:17.670 have several diverse ways of doing it . 20:17.810 --> 20:20.250 And that's the power of society and 20:20.260 --> 20:23.550 mind . You have multiple ways . It may 20:23.560 --> 20:26.290 mean something to somebody whether it's 20:26.319 --> 20:28.910 the way we describe consciousness . I 20:28.920 --> 20:31.630 don't think we should have a definitive 20:31.640 --> 20:34.550 definition of what is consciousness . 20:34.560 --> 20:36.989 We have many different types that we 20:37.000 --> 20:39.390 bond together and we can use them 20:39.400 --> 20:43.300 because they are very keyword flexible . 20:44.069 --> 20:47.359 Now , um There was something that I 20:47.369 --> 20:51.300 refer to as the Winsy signifying 20:51.489 --> 20:54.810 hypothesis . The thing signifying 20:54.819 --> 20:58.579 hypothesis says everything is a thing 21:00.130 --> 21:02.709 if you look at that from a mathematical 21:02.719 --> 21:04.810 point of view and that's one of 21:04.819 --> 21:07.130 Marvin's strongest points . He did his 21:07.140 --> 21:10.030 phd in math at Princeton a long time 21:10.040 --> 21:14.020 ago . Everything is a thing . 21:14.380 --> 21:17.780 If you play that out , it's circular . 21:18.300 --> 21:20.780 So something being circular where 21:20.790 --> 21:24.619 whether it's our neural circuits or 21:24.630 --> 21:26.609 whether it's this thing , you find 21:26.619 --> 21:30.199 hypothesis , it's circular is a 21:30.209 --> 21:33.579 valuable thing to think about . And if 21:33.589 --> 21:36.319 you read his theories of what's called 21:36.329 --> 21:40.219 level bands , level bands has 21:40.229 --> 21:42.910 the need for circular behavior in 21:42.920 --> 21:45.800 representation along with the other 21:45.810 --> 21:48.569 theories that complemented . So that's 21:48.579 --> 21:50.959 my thought with Mike's question about 21:50.969 --> 21:53.979 circular . Uh it's necessary 21:54.439 --> 21:57.060 and I wanted to circumvent the idea 21:57.069 --> 21:58.625 that we're trying to define 21:58.630 --> 22:01.510 consciousness . We should have multiple 22:01.520 --> 22:04.910 points of view of consciousness and 22:04.920 --> 22:08.250 some of them , well , humans like to be 22:08.260 --> 22:11.189 self aware . So we are attending to 22:11.430 --> 22:14.609 some aspects of what the hardware 22:14.619 --> 22:16.939 called the brain , the chemistry into 22:16.949 --> 22:19.670 the brain is doing in all that 22:20.109 --> 22:22.670 activation . And the fact that what we 22:22.680 --> 22:24.902 think we're thinking about is about two 22:24.902 --> 22:26.958 or three seconds ahead of what we're 22:26.958 --> 22:29.420 thinking about . We drive our cars , 22:29.430 --> 22:33.140 for example , in the future , not the 22:33.150 --> 22:36.180 present , we are aware of what we were 22:36.189 --> 22:39.650 gonna do rela relative to the highway 22:39.660 --> 22:42.109 and all the signs and whatever else . 22:42.349 --> 22:46.300 Three seconds from now . So you have 22:46.310 --> 22:48.920 to have multiple perspectives that are 22:48.930 --> 22:52.199 very attended to and others which there 22:52.209 --> 22:54.599 doesn't seem to be any attention to . 22:54.880 --> 22:57.930 But believe me , it is , it's just we 22:57.939 --> 23:00.106 don't know what to do about that yet , 23:00.119 --> 23:02.400 but I'll leave that to Kevin and others 23:02.410 --> 23:04.810 to show us how the brain from a 23:04.819 --> 23:07.640 chemical point of view does achieve 23:07.650 --> 23:10.439 such wonderful things . I'll stop there . 23:14.959 --> 23:17.729 Did I mess up something ? No , I'm just 23:17.739 --> 23:19.850 trying to process if I had a response 23:19.850 --> 23:21.795 to the chemical point of view . Uh 23:21.795 --> 23:25.760 Robert . Yes . Can you 23:25.770 --> 23:29.160 hear me ? Ok . Yes , sir . I um I'm 23:29.170 --> 23:31.226 probably gonna regret doing this but 23:31.239 --> 23:33.461 I'm not prepared to present yet , maybe 23:33.461 --> 23:35.969 in about a month . But this is making 23:35.979 --> 23:38.090 me wanna kind of tea , throw out some 23:38.090 --> 23:40.900 teasers here . So I think if you read 23:40.910 --> 23:43.229 across diverse literatures and it 23:43.239 --> 23:47.219 requires a lot of hard digging and I'll 23:47.229 --> 23:49.451 be presenting this in maybe a few weeks 23:49.451 --> 23:51.670 or whatever , whatever is comfortable 23:52.640 --> 23:55.359 um is strong evidence that our 23:55.369 --> 23:57.819 conscious does not really do anything , 23:57.829 --> 23:59.773 it doesn't make any decisions , it 23:59.773 --> 24:03.069 doesn't evaluate anything . And uh all 24:03.079 --> 24:05.250 that is a lot is done unconsciously . 24:05.260 --> 24:07.371 And there's a lot of evidence that we 24:07.371 --> 24:09.680 have a free will choice . You actually 24:09.689 --> 24:12.489 free will . Conscious choice is 24:12.500 --> 24:14.910 initiated unconsciously first , 24:14.920 --> 24:17.087 anywhere from hundreds of milliseconds 24:17.087 --> 24:19.087 to over a second or two before your 24:19.087 --> 24:21.142 free will . Conscious choice you and 24:21.142 --> 24:23.364 it's very likely your conscious choices 24:23.364 --> 24:25.531 don't do anything that is representing 24:25.531 --> 24:27.531 what your unconscious is doing this 24:27.531 --> 24:29.142 sort and essentially like uh 24:29.142 --> 24:31.198 communicating it to yourself . So my 24:31.209 --> 24:33.431 take on and I have some , there's a lot 24:33.431 --> 24:35.542 of this across multiple literatures , 24:35.542 --> 24:37.709 hundreds of papers if you compile them 24:37.709 --> 24:40.560 all together uh Other , in addition , 24:40.569 --> 24:44.469 um I think also there's a philosophical 24:44.479 --> 24:48.060 argument and this is um interesting 24:48.069 --> 24:52.060 uh that there's coherence based truth 24:52.069 --> 24:55.739 or , or um called truth or rationality , 24:55.750 --> 24:58.280 coherence base , which is a system that 24:58.290 --> 25:00.819 involves symbols and they have to 25:00.829 --> 25:02.885 cohere together like mathematics two 25:02.885 --> 25:04.829 plus two is four and , and , and a 25:04.839 --> 25:08.119 coherent huge system involving symbols . 25:08.130 --> 25:10.297 And all , there's a strong argument in 25:10.297 --> 25:12.880 philosophical areas that those type of 25:12.890 --> 25:15.979 coherent based systems are not equipped . 25:15.989 --> 25:18.100 And that would mean consciousness are 25:18.100 --> 25:21.000 not equipped to actually deal with 25:21.020 --> 25:23.329 reality in a real world that's called 25:23.390 --> 25:25.819 rather than coherence as correspondence 25:25.829 --> 25:29.400 based truth or , or um or 25:29.410 --> 25:32.660 reality . And so correspondence is uh I 25:32.670 --> 25:34.726 have a tree outside my house , let's 25:34.726 --> 25:36.948 say I tell you that you can go look out 25:36.948 --> 25:39.170 my window and there's either a yes or a 25:39.170 --> 25:41.003 no to that response . That's the 25:41.003 --> 25:43.630 natural world , naturalistic symbols 25:43.640 --> 25:46.819 and coherence based systems to 25:47.400 --> 25:50.849 reflect that yes or no binary values . 25:50.859 --> 25:52.970 The term binary something in the , in 25:52.970 --> 25:55.920 the literature uh referred to because 25:55.930 --> 25:57.874 with a coherence based system that 25:57.874 --> 26:01.329 involves propositions and symbols in 26:01.339 --> 26:03.283 theory , you know , this is be and 26:03.283 --> 26:05.599 Russell going back to 1907 paper , I 26:05.609 --> 26:07.831 can send you guys if you want . There's 26:07.831 --> 26:09.998 many papers on this . This is one that 26:09.998 --> 26:11.998 I could almost understand what they 26:11.998 --> 26:14.339 were saying is a philosophical people 26:14.349 --> 26:17.109 from long time ago . But the idea is 26:17.119 --> 26:20.859 that um with a coherence based system , 26:20.869 --> 26:23.329 a loving symbol that have to cohere 26:23.339 --> 26:26.479 together in theory , in the in the 26:26.489 --> 26:29.089 universe of all propositions , you can 26:29.099 --> 26:31.219 always find some that will cohere 26:31.229 --> 26:33.790 together . So coherence based systems 26:33.800 --> 26:37.060 cannot reflect the negative that is 26:37.069 --> 26:40.569 reflected with co co uh coherence space 26:40.579 --> 26:43.349 systems cannot reflect the the the uh 26:43.359 --> 26:46.920 the nega negative value that is needed 26:46.930 --> 26:49.880 to reflect correspondence based systems . 26:50.010 --> 26:53.329 And so to me that goes along with our , 26:53.339 --> 26:56.829 our consciousness is is is is 26:56.839 --> 26:59.920 uh is representing to ourselves and 26:59.930 --> 27:03.199 other people , what they think is going 27:03.209 --> 27:05.098 on and implicit knowledge is made 27:05.098 --> 27:07.098 explicit , there's a literature and 27:07.098 --> 27:08.876 that's , that's a learning type 27:08.876 --> 27:10.653 response that we , we play in a 27:10.653 --> 27:12.876 playground , hanging out , learning how 27:12.876 --> 27:15.153 to interact with other kids were a kid . 27:15.153 --> 27:14.599 Not only are we learning how to 27:14.609 --> 27:16.776 socialize with other people , learning 27:16.776 --> 27:18.998 how to turn it inward into , to a re re 27:18.998 --> 27:21.204 representation that makes implicit 27:21.214 --> 27:24.025 knowledge explicit for you to discuss . 27:24.035 --> 27:26.257 There's some theories on conscious that 27:26.257 --> 27:28.257 it's a broadcasting system to other 27:28.257 --> 27:30.424 parts of our brain that makes a lot of 27:30.424 --> 27:32.591 sense to me . I'll present to you guys 27:32.591 --> 27:34.535 in a few weeks that there's strong 27:34.535 --> 27:36.702 evidence as although our consciousness 27:36.702 --> 27:38.924 may be representing again as coherently 27:38.924 --> 27:41.146 representing information to us , as C A 27:41.146 --> 27:43.599 says , it's likely not functioning , 27:43.609 --> 27:45.819 doing anything and deciding , 27:45.829 --> 27:48.880 evaluating initiating action and 27:48.890 --> 27:51.719 selecting , selecting actions to take . 27:51.729 --> 27:53.910 It's very , very likely , you know , 27:53.920 --> 27:56.579 you can't say no , but the the evidence 27:56.589 --> 27:58.680 is , is compelling that our 27:58.689 --> 28:00.300 consciousness is just simply 28:00.300 --> 28:02.356 representing things to ourselves and 28:02.356 --> 28:03.856 other people as a symbolic 28:03.864 --> 28:07.665 communication system , not a uh 28:07.675 --> 28:09.935 functionally doing anything over it 28:10.155 --> 28:12.266 just just be a little careful . I was 28:12.266 --> 28:14.044 with you up until that last two 28:14.044 --> 28:16.574 sentences . Uh I don't want to say it's 28:16.584 --> 28:18.473 not doing anything . I think that 28:18.473 --> 28:20.306 representation for communication 28:20.306 --> 28:22.140 includes communications into the 28:22.140 --> 28:24.214 knowledge I stand correctly . You're 28:24.224 --> 28:26.335 absolutely right on that . It's doing 28:26.335 --> 28:28.113 something what is not , is , is 28:28.113 --> 28:30.280 functionally directly interacting with 28:30.280 --> 28:32.446 the outside world . Absolutely . Thank 28:32.446 --> 28:34.613 you for that . And so , so the point , 28:34.613 --> 28:36.780 the point being back to Ancient Mike , 28:36.780 --> 28:39.589 the point being is that um I'm not at 28:39.599 --> 28:42.780 all suggesting I insert a conscious 28:43.040 --> 28:45.207 agent for the purpose of it , making a 28:45.207 --> 28:47.373 decision . That's not the , that's not 28:47.373 --> 28:49.596 where I'm headed at all . I'm headed in 28:49.596 --> 28:51.762 trying to create a representation that 28:51.762 --> 28:53.596 captures some of the engineering 28:53.596 --> 28:55.373 characteristics of your quality 28:55.373 --> 28:57.540 representation . And , and having that 28:57.540 --> 28:59.596 be the way I represent the knowledge 28:59.596 --> 29:01.707 which I'm acquiring for my artificial 29:01.707 --> 29:03.873 intelligence systems . To me , that is 29:03.873 --> 29:06.151 the breakthrough I need . And , and so , 29:06.151 --> 29:08.373 you know , I I am absolutely these days 29:08.373 --> 29:10.484 in the , in the Robert Patterson camp 29:10.484 --> 29:12.707 of quit trying to make a symbolic , you 29:12.707 --> 29:14.849 know , first wave A I uh shell on top 29:14.859 --> 29:18.170 of a connection is uh second wave A I 29:18.180 --> 29:20.347 uh intuitive system . To me that makes 29:20.347 --> 29:22.458 no sense at all . I think there's one 29:22.458 --> 29:24.291 representation . And I think the 29:24.291 --> 29:26.402 insight into what that representation 29:26.402 --> 29:28.513 is like is our conscious experience . 29:31.359 --> 29:34.520 OK . Well , 29:34.680 --> 29:37.790 let's , let's , let's go to the uh 29:37.800 --> 29:39.967 let's go to the talking points . Let's 29:39.967 --> 29:42.133 go to these documents and try and walk 29:42.133 --> 29:44.699 through things , see how we might um 29:45.699 --> 29:47.719 get some clarity on some of these 29:47.729 --> 29:51.619 questions . Iii I honestly think um we 29:51.630 --> 29:54.800 could just stop at saying uh we , we 29:54.810 --> 29:56.866 win here because the Air Force has a 29:56.866 --> 29:58.754 strategic document that calls out 29:58.754 --> 30:00.699 consciousness . I think that's the 30:00.699 --> 30:02.921 coolest thing . And now I feel like I'm 30:02.921 --> 30:04.754 just kind of splitting hairs . I 30:04.754 --> 30:06.977 already have something to justify while 30:06.977 --> 30:09.199 we're doing this research . And so just 30:09.199 --> 30:11.254 in that and of itself is the coolest 30:11.254 --> 30:13.477 thing . And so let's let's look at what 30:13.477 --> 30:16.050 a research program might look like here . 30:20.619 --> 30:23.660 So this is uh uh I , I still find this 30:23.670 --> 30:26.089 a great document even though it's , you 30:26.099 --> 30:28.140 know , four years , maybe five when 30:28.150 --> 30:30.261 they started to write it years old at 30:30.261 --> 30:32.428 this point , cap , you can write it if 30:32.428 --> 30:35.180 you want . II I , well , let me give 30:35.189 --> 30:37.522 you a little historical thing here . So , 30:37.522 --> 30:39.959 um , you know , several years before we 30:39.969 --> 30:42.080 finally got this out the door , the , 30:42.080 --> 30:44.900 the , uh , secretary and chief of staff 30:44.910 --> 30:47.188 asked for revision document , you know , 30:47.188 --> 30:49.521 where we're going as a department . And , 30:49.521 --> 30:52.650 um , and so I was told that they needed 30:52.660 --> 30:54.493 it to be 10 pages or less , uh , 30:54.680 --> 30:56.791 because the secretary in chief didn't 30:56.791 --> 30:58.958 want to read anything more than that . 30:58.958 --> 31:01.160 And so , uh , uh , Mike and bet and I 31:01.170 --> 31:03.281 whipped it out in about a week , uh , 31:03.281 --> 31:05.630 maybe 10 days or so , we had a 10 page . 31:05.640 --> 31:08.319 We were done , it took us four years 31:08.329 --> 31:10.218 and it's over 400 pages to get it 31:10.218 --> 31:12.770 through the Pentagon . So I apologize 31:12.780 --> 31:15.002 for that . If you pull this off the web 31:15.002 --> 31:17.280 and read it , it , the , the reason is , 31:17.280 --> 31:19.336 is , hey , somebody said , hey , how 31:19.336 --> 31:21.280 about putting in , you know , this 31:21.280 --> 31:23.613 piece , how about putting in that piece ? 31:23.613 --> 31:25.724 And so it became , it became quite an 31:25.724 --> 31:27.669 undertaking . Um But , but in , in 31:27.669 --> 31:30.510 either case , as Kevin points out , we , 31:30.520 --> 31:33.050 uh , successfully inserted into it some 31:33.060 --> 31:36.050 ideas that we , uh , we thought were 31:36.060 --> 31:38.420 overlooked in many of these sorts of 31:38.430 --> 31:40.449 things . Uh And , and we regularly 31:40.459 --> 31:43.369 reference it Um , but I , I absolutely , 31:43.380 --> 31:45.658 Kevin . You're right . It's , you know , 31:45.658 --> 31:47.436 2019 is a , is a , you know , a 31:47.436 --> 31:49.959 geological epic way , you know , it's a 31:49.969 --> 31:53.319 lot , seems to change a lot . Well , 31:53.329 --> 31:55.496 and I think the field of consciousness 31:55.496 --> 31:57.662 is , and , and just our quest group is 31:57.662 --> 31:59.829 advancing too . And so I just think of 31:59.829 --> 32:02.489 reflecting on the last year , even just 32:02.500 --> 32:05.670 the last year in this group . And , uh , 32:05.680 --> 32:08.949 what I'm gonna , uh highlight here as 32:08.959 --> 32:11.126 you know , maybe potentially different 32:11.126 --> 32:13.126 views between different sections of 32:13.126 --> 32:15.015 this paper and where we're out of 32:15.015 --> 32:17.181 trying to bring those together exactly 32:17.181 --> 32:19.459 what Doug was talking about earlier on . 32:19.459 --> 32:23.229 Um , maybe we will rewrite it in 10 32:23.239 --> 32:24.961 years from now or something to 32:24.961 --> 32:27.183 autonomous rises volume three , I guess 32:27.183 --> 32:28.683 this is the uh this is the 32:28.683 --> 32:30.979 brainstorming session for that . Hey , 32:30.989 --> 32:34.560 Kevin , you just have chat G BT 32:34.569 --> 32:35.569 rewrite it . 32:39.520 --> 32:42.099 Ah , I don't know . Cool . I like that . 32:42.109 --> 32:45.280 It's funny that was you , you can . So 32:45.540 --> 32:48.530 with me , I just want to highlight that 32:48.540 --> 32:50.818 this is the work . This is not my work . 32:50.818 --> 32:52.707 This is the work of C A uh Doctor 32:52.707 --> 32:54.989 Mendenhall , Mike Mendenhall Kane is 32:55.000 --> 32:56.944 his call sign our Chief Technology 32:56.944 --> 32:59.449 Officer in Act three and Bert Peterson 32:59.459 --> 33:01.570 Gilbert , Doctor Burt Peterson at Air 33:01.570 --> 33:03.459 Force Institute of Technology Act 33:03.459 --> 33:06.020 three's chief scientist . And so 12 or 33:06.030 --> 33:08.086 three of those folks will be with us 33:08.086 --> 33:10.869 next week . Um , for all your questions 33:10.880 --> 33:13.189 that I am unqualified to answer . But I 33:13.199 --> 33:15.319 can try to lay some groundwork here . 33:19.359 --> 33:21.589 Oh OK . There's some , some new 33:21.599 --> 33:23.655 comments in here that I haven't seen 33:23.655 --> 33:25.655 yet . I , I threw those in . Let me 33:25.655 --> 33:27.877 just show you , tell you why I put this 33:27.877 --> 33:29.877 in here . So , so this is the world 33:29.877 --> 33:31.877 that we were asked to address , you 33:31.877 --> 33:34.043 know , and this is , this is a diagram 33:34.043 --> 33:35.543 which I've seen in so many 33:35.543 --> 33:37.766 presentations where people talk about , 33:37.766 --> 33:39.877 hey , uh instead of fighting an F Dan 33:39.877 --> 33:42.043 or Iraq , and you're going to now take 33:42.043 --> 33:44.210 on a peer or near peer adversary . And 33:44.210 --> 33:46.665 people throw up diagrams like this , 33:46.724 --> 33:49.655 implying there's places where uh you're 33:49.665 --> 33:51.776 just not going to be able to get your 33:51.776 --> 33:53.776 assets into or out of . And so they 33:53.776 --> 33:55.721 call these , you know , these anti 33:55.721 --> 33:58.074 access area denial uh spaces and , and 33:58.084 --> 34:00.314 this is a common depiction and when 34:00.324 --> 34:02.435 people throw it up , they , they make 34:02.435 --> 34:04.491 these very broad statements . And in 34:04.491 --> 34:06.602 essence why I threw it into Economist 34:06.602 --> 34:08.889 Horizons was I think it's an 34:08.899 --> 34:11.066 oversimplification . There's , there's 34:11.066 --> 34:14.070 no uh there's no wall there in , in , 34:14.370 --> 34:17.560 in space time . That's pink that you 34:17.570 --> 34:19.626 can't penetrate , you know , there's 34:19.626 --> 34:21.626 sensors there , there's platforms , 34:21.626 --> 34:23.959 there , there's , there's dangers there , 34:23.959 --> 34:26.181 there's risk , there's uh but , but you 34:26.181 --> 34:28.760 know , if I , if I have a , a Air Force 34:28.770 --> 34:30.826 and Space Force that have autonomous 34:30.826 --> 34:33.209 capabilities at best , you could say 34:33.219 --> 34:35.439 that's a Swiss cheese pink area , you 34:35.449 --> 34:37.338 know , there are places you could 34:37.338 --> 34:39.393 probably go through and and never be 34:39.393 --> 34:41.727 damaged . There are missions you can do . 34:41.727 --> 34:43.893 Uh some of which you probably wouldn't 34:43.893 --> 34:46.005 want to risk humans . On the point is 34:46.005 --> 34:48.171 the bottom line over on the right side 34:48.171 --> 34:50.171 is we as a Department Air and Space 34:50.171 --> 34:52.227 Force are committed to decentralized 34:52.227 --> 34:54.449 execution . We are committed to crude , 34:54.449 --> 34:56.505 un crude teaming . You put those two 34:56.505 --> 34:58.830 statements together and you , you say 34:58.840 --> 35:01.600 that it requires intelligent autonomous 35:01.610 --> 35:03.739 solutions . And so the question that 35:03.750 --> 35:06.000 quest is always asking is , you know , 35:06.010 --> 35:07.843 what's the basis of that ? Now , 35:07.843 --> 35:10.066 there's clearly some of these pieces of 35:10.066 --> 35:12.121 the missions we can do with existing 35:12.121 --> 35:14.288 artificial intelligence capabilities . 35:14.288 --> 35:16.709 But my suspicion is to really ensure an 35:16.719 --> 35:18.886 enduring asymmetric advantage . And by 35:18.886 --> 35:20.775 the way , that is our vision , an 35:20.775 --> 35:23.729 enduring asymmetric A I advantage , an 35:23.739 --> 35:25.939 A I enabled autonomy advantage for the 35:25.949 --> 35:27.949 Air Force and Space Force . That is 35:27.949 --> 35:30.060 absolutely what we are committed to . 35:30.570 --> 35:33.030 Given that statement . I personally uh 35:33.040 --> 35:35.262 have adopted the position that we can't 35:35.262 --> 35:37.780 ensure that in advantage without 35:37.790 --> 35:39.957 cracking the quest nut . I think it is 35:39.957 --> 35:42.012 absolutely critical . We put that in 35:42.012 --> 35:44.959 this document for that reason . And um 35:45.050 --> 35:47.217 anyway , that's what this picture is , 35:47.217 --> 35:49.439 Kevin . I , I put that those words in . 35:49.439 --> 35:51.439 Yeah . Yeah . Yeah . Um I was gonna 35:51.439 --> 35:53.383 keep this super general to again , 35:53.383 --> 35:55.383 everyone , remember this is an open 35:55.383 --> 35:57.550 meeting and all are welcome , but that 35:57.550 --> 35:59.606 also means , you know , not maybe mm 35:59.606 --> 36:01.709 Mike next week , we'll probably talk 36:01.719 --> 36:03.840 about some more specific situations 36:03.850 --> 36:05.961 here . Where , where these things can 36:05.961 --> 36:07.961 be applicable . But to me , I , you 36:07.961 --> 36:09.961 know , II , I remember when I first 36:09.961 --> 36:12.294 learn this word anti access area denial . 36:12.294 --> 36:14.350 A two ad , it's , you know , they're 36:14.350 --> 36:16.128 jamming your gps and there's no 36:16.128 --> 36:18.729 communication between the un crude 36:18.780 --> 36:20.836 airplane and , and so it's got to be 36:20.836 --> 36:23.370 able to autonomously accomplish its 36:23.379 --> 36:25.435 mission , fly around and , and stuff 36:25.435 --> 36:27.649 like that . And so that's all I was 36:27.659 --> 36:31.370 gonna say in a general sense . Um But 36:31.379 --> 36:33.546 next week , I hope we do get into more 36:33.546 --> 36:37.020 specific um specific 36:37.030 --> 36:39.399 um mission sets or something like that , 36:39.409 --> 36:41.669 that were , that um we might be more 36:41.679 --> 36:43.901 interested in specifically here . Maybe 36:43.901 --> 36:45.901 Michael , talk about that . I think 36:45.901 --> 36:49.780 he's got some plans too . Uh All 36:49.790 --> 36:51.957 right , I wanna park on this one for a 36:51.957 --> 36:53.957 little bit too because I , I really 36:53.957 --> 36:56.729 think that this is kind of the um just 36:56.739 --> 37:00.479 this one figure is the uh uh uh a good 37:00.489 --> 37:02.656 research and development plan . So the 37:02.656 --> 37:05.000 idea is um where we're trying to get to 37:05.010 --> 37:07.010 is a framework for these autonomous 37:07.010 --> 37:10.629 systems . And 37:10.639 --> 37:13.010 so , you know , uh here's my background 37:13.020 --> 37:15.242 on the very bottom left , right . I'm a 37:15.242 --> 37:17.600 neuroscientist and I also now have a , 37:17.610 --> 37:19.332 a phd and strong background in 37:19.332 --> 37:21.659 cognitive psychology . And you can see 37:21.669 --> 37:25.050 those two , those two research 37:25.060 --> 37:27.459 areas blend together into cognitive 37:27.469 --> 37:29.691 architectures , which is something that 37:29.691 --> 37:31.691 is budding in Act Three . These are 37:31.691 --> 37:35.320 things like A R things like Libra 37:35.729 --> 37:38.699 um you know , and and , and 37:39.199 --> 37:42.979 anyone who has their phd knows if you 37:42.989 --> 37:44.878 step a little bit outside of your 37:44.878 --> 37:47.100 particular area of expertise . Like I'm 37:47.100 --> 37:49.156 confident in saying I'm an expert in 37:49.500 --> 37:51.667 how the brain learns things , learning 37:51.667 --> 37:53.889 and memory and neuroscience . But , you 37:53.889 --> 37:55.833 know , if I step just a little bit 37:55.833 --> 37:55.500 outside of that into cognitive 37:55.510 --> 37:57.709 architectures , I'm quickly over my 37:57.719 --> 37:59.941 head or it's gonna take a long time for 37:59.941 --> 38:02.275 me to get , to get up to speed for that , 38:02.275 --> 38:04.441 let alone something that's all the way 38:04.441 --> 38:06.663 at the top left , which is , you know , 38:06.663 --> 38:09.649 robotics um that said we're very 38:09.659 --> 38:13.179 diverse group here . And so um 38:13.659 --> 38:15.881 I think there's probably representation 38:15.881 --> 38:17.937 from all of these different research 38:17.937 --> 38:19.992 areas here . I did have a particular 38:19.992 --> 38:21.881 question , a couple of particular 38:21.881 --> 38:24.103 questions that I wanted to throw out to 38:24.103 --> 38:26.048 the group . So in my reading these 38:26.048 --> 38:28.129 terms hard A I and soft A I were 38:28.139 --> 38:30.590 somewhat new to me . But what I'm 38:31.389 --> 38:34.320 putting together is hard A I , the hard 38:34.330 --> 38:36.409 is that it's hard coded . So that's 38:36.419 --> 38:39.580 like symbolic kinds of models . These 38:39.590 --> 38:43.090 are like um expert system models . Um 38:43.149 --> 38:45.205 An example I think they gave is like 38:45.205 --> 38:47.209 TurboTax where you know all the 38:47.219 --> 38:49.969 different rules of the game and you can 38:49.979 --> 38:52.201 you , you know , plug these all in in a 38:52.201 --> 38:55.409 kind of a rule based um type of 38:55.419 --> 38:58.879 representation versus soft A I 38:59.370 --> 39:01.259 um brings in this concept of like 39:01.259 --> 39:03.370 emergence . So this is things like uh 39:03.370 --> 39:05.919 connection is modeling or uh neural 39:05.929 --> 39:08.270 neural networks . This is sub symbolic 39:08.280 --> 39:11.909 computational models . Someone please 39:11.919 --> 39:14.030 correct me if I'm wrong on that . But 39:14.030 --> 39:16.252 then the open question is to me is what 39:16.252 --> 39:18.475 is this , what is cybernetics ? Because 39:18.475 --> 39:21.239 as I was reading this document , it 39:21.250 --> 39:24.270 seemed like cybernetics was this 39:25.340 --> 39:28.280 way of information processing of human 39:28.290 --> 39:31.760 computer interaction . Robert . 39:32.449 --> 39:36.189 Yeah , it's uh the title of the I guess 39:36.199 --> 39:39.719 the key book is uh Control in , in , is 39:39.729 --> 39:42.719 it something like Control in , in man 39:42.729 --> 39:44.699 and machines ? And so it's really 39:44.709 --> 39:47.040 talking about feedback systems , uh 39:47.050 --> 39:49.739 positive , negative and so on . And 39:49.750 --> 39:52.530 there's a uh this guy who sprung from 39:52.540 --> 39:56.500 that is Jay Forester from MIT in uh in 39:56.510 --> 39:58.621 their business school , I think Sloan 39:58.621 --> 40:00.343 business School and he sort of 40:00.343 --> 40:03.409 continued that uh that uh cybernetic 40:03.419 --> 40:06.340 type theme of , of involving feedback 40:06.350 --> 40:08.572 systems is , is the name of the game as 40:08.572 --> 40:10.572 far as uh minor , minor standing is 40:10.572 --> 40:10.939 over 40:15.330 --> 40:18.080 feedback from what to what or just 40:18.090 --> 40:20.201 feedback of a control control systems 40:20.201 --> 40:22.423 in general . The idea is if you're , if 40:22.423 --> 40:24.146 you're , if you're in a system 40:24.146 --> 40:26.090 controlling things , you involving 40:26.090 --> 40:28.034 feedback , so positive feedback is 40:28.034 --> 40:30.146 spending for growth and you get , the 40:30.146 --> 40:32.201 feedback is going to the set point . 40:32.201 --> 40:34.459 And uh and uh Jay Forrester created a 40:34.469 --> 40:36.760 thing called system dynamics , which is 40:36.770 --> 40:39.879 very closely related . And uh Jay 40:39.889 --> 40:42.111 Forester actually was in on inventing I 40:42.111 --> 40:44.000 think core memory in the , in the 40:44.000 --> 40:46.270 thirties and forties thirties . And 40:46.280 --> 40:48.280 then he went into believe it or not 40:48.280 --> 40:51.389 using his uh control systems theories 40:51.399 --> 40:54.429 and stuff when in the management and uh 40:54.439 --> 40:58.040 and economics . And so he was modeling 40:58.050 --> 41:00.790 and feedback systems , economic uh 41:01.209 --> 41:03.939 phenomenon stuff . And so it's pretty 41:03.949 --> 41:06.139 much how , how controlling things 41:06.149 --> 41:08.149 you're either , you know , you're , 41:08.149 --> 41:10.205 you're exponentially growing or , or 41:10.205 --> 41:12.239 finding a set point and controlling 41:12.250 --> 41:13.917 that way , like , like a room 41:13.917 --> 41:17.030 thermometer or something . Thank you . 41:19.189 --> 41:21.169 Uh You turn your camera on again 41:21.179 --> 41:24.189 instead of muting . Uh So 41:25.030 --> 41:28.179 I'd like to add one thought , not a 41:28.189 --> 41:31.540 change , but it might motivate a change 41:32.850 --> 41:35.870 in this picture . I'm pointing to the 41:35.879 --> 41:37.679 area where it says competitive 41:38.209 --> 41:41.520 computational models of humans 41:41.530 --> 41:43.550 for systems . 41:45.030 --> 41:47.820 Well , is it possible that you also 41:47.830 --> 41:50.649 have for of bottles of 41:50.659 --> 41:54.620 systems for humans ? The inverse 41:54.800 --> 41:57.010 should be included in there . 41:59.070 --> 42:01.770 What's there right now is the na nature 42:01.780 --> 42:05.149 of the world of much work today . But 42:05.159 --> 42:09.090 we are going well beyond aar , that's a 42:09.100 --> 42:13.030 old rule based technology . And 42:13.100 --> 42:15.800 I've argued that machines have to 42:15.810 --> 42:18.060 explain what they're doing to the human 42:18.070 --> 42:21.780 sometimes or why did the aircraft make 42:21.790 --> 42:25.129 this kind of turn to avoid a 42:25.139 --> 42:27.830 missile ? And the humans didn't see 42:27.840 --> 42:30.760 something that the robot saw . So the 42:30.770 --> 42:34.320 humans models and the machines 42:34.330 --> 42:37.739 models need to go both ways . I 42:37.750 --> 42:39.949 think in the very near future , 42:42.580 --> 42:44.413 if you were really talking about 42:44.413 --> 42:48.189 autonomous systems out , 42:53.060 --> 42:55.116 did that make sense ? Yeah . No , it 42:55.116 --> 42:55.600 did . 43:00.689 --> 43:02.770 Yeah , guys , I mean , my goodness , 43:02.780 --> 43:05.070 what a , what a breadth of um 43:06.280 --> 43:09.379 expertise needed here . But um we 43:09.389 --> 43:11.333 should expect no less for the Holy 43:11.333 --> 43:13.260 Grail , which is uh artificial 43:13.270 --> 43:16.449 consciousness . And so um this is the , 43:16.459 --> 43:18.979 this is a high level overview . I mean , 43:18.989 --> 43:21.760 maybe there's points of discussion in 43:21.770 --> 43:23.770 here . I don't really have too much 43:23.770 --> 43:25.881 more to say . I , except I , I really 43:25.881 --> 43:27.826 enjoy coming into these meetings , 43:27.826 --> 43:30.090 which I think is um you know , this 43:30.100 --> 43:33.540 sort of flow chart here uh in practice . 43:33.550 --> 43:35.879 And so it's gonna really take all these 43:35.889 --> 43:38.056 different diverse viewpoints . I guess 43:38.056 --> 43:40.500 they left philosophers out here . Um We 43:40.510 --> 43:42.566 might devolve into that later in the 43:42.566 --> 43:44.454 conversation today . We we always 43:44.454 --> 43:46.677 evolve into that . I just want to point 43:46.677 --> 43:48.732 out my comment . I put on the bottom 43:48.732 --> 43:50.788 and that is um we should have put in 43:50.788 --> 43:52.732 this diagram , the requirement for 43:52.732 --> 43:54.566 responsible autonomous systems . 43:54.566 --> 43:56.788 There's nothing we do in the department 43:56.788 --> 43:58.843 that we don't have that right at the 43:58.843 --> 44:02.770 core . Yes , thank you . Yes , that's 44:02.800 --> 44:06.449 fine . OK . Let 44:06.459 --> 44:09.250 me uh OK . 44:12.719 --> 44:14.941 Uh You know , this is what one of these 44:14.949 --> 44:17.060 uh autonomous system frameworks could 44:17.060 --> 44:19.227 look like you've got the outside world 44:19.227 --> 44:21.171 at the bottom . It goes in through 44:21.171 --> 44:23.393 sensors , there's some sort of hardware 44:23.393 --> 44:25.505 software platform . This is the Asy , 44:25.505 --> 44:27.393 the Air and Space Force Cognitive 44:27.393 --> 44:29.616 Engine perhaps that then has effects on 44:29.616 --> 44:31.879 the outside world . But using that Air 44:31.889 --> 44:34.500 and Space Force Cognitive Engine , we 44:34.510 --> 44:36.540 can develop different computational 44:36.550 --> 44:39.500 methods and algorithms and feed that 44:39.510 --> 44:41.979 into some kind of autonomous system . 44:43.209 --> 44:45.209 And because we've done this , we've 44:45.209 --> 44:47.860 built this all with this uh cybernetic 44:47.870 --> 44:50.100 and , and human machine interaction . 44:50.110 --> 44:52.277 This , you know , we could potentially 44:52.277 --> 44:54.388 use this sort of framework to build a 44:54.388 --> 44:56.332 better human machine interface for 44:56.332 --> 44:58.443 better uh alignment between the human 44:58.443 --> 45:00.666 and the machine . So this is an example 45:00.666 --> 45:02.777 of what it could look like I inserted 45:02.777 --> 45:02.669 on the left there , Kevin , you know , 45:02.679 --> 45:04.846 the premise , the reason this diagrams 45:04.846 --> 45:07.780 in there is um at least again , in the 45:07.790 --> 45:09.512 department , we don't envision 45:09.512 --> 45:11.734 autonomous systems other than the way I 45:11.734 --> 45:13.957 have to find them there . On the left , 45:13.957 --> 45:15.957 it'd be physical or digital systems 45:15.957 --> 45:18.068 that do something as a result of some 45:18.068 --> 45:20.068 human granny , it delegated bounded 45:20.068 --> 45:22.012 authority to perform that function 45:22.012 --> 45:24.179 that's critical . And since a human is 45:24.179 --> 45:26.290 doing the delegation and the bounding 45:26.290 --> 45:28.234 of the authority of the autonomous 45:28.234 --> 45:28.020 systems , you've got to figure out some 45:28.030 --> 45:30.141 way that the human can interface with 45:30.141 --> 45:32.252 that system and and ensure that , you 45:32.252 --> 45:34.419 know , that authority is appropriate . 45:34.419 --> 45:36.586 So you know , that again , responsible 45:36.586 --> 45:38.641 comes in there . But the point is is 45:38.641 --> 45:40.752 too often in the department . We were 45:40.752 --> 45:42.641 seeing people using the economy . 45:42.641 --> 45:44.808 Whereas as these things , we just turn 45:44.808 --> 45:47.030 loose and , and that's not the model we 45:47.030 --> 45:49.197 want people thinking about . There's a 45:49.197 --> 45:51.363 human here somewhere , it could be the 45:51.363 --> 45:50.889 commander , it could be the person 45:50.899 --> 45:53.010 employing it . It could be all of the 45:53.010 --> 45:55.219 above . Thanks . 45:56.810 --> 46:00.689 I come to uh a very good pointed 46:01.120 --> 46:04.840 path made again , I would 46:05.000 --> 46:08.639 iterate that the autonomous machine 46:09.060 --> 46:12.399 needs to explain itself to the human , 46:12.659 --> 46:15.080 that I saw a way to deal with a 46:15.090 --> 46:18.260 situation that a human missed . 46:19.260 --> 46:22.889 But , and here's the key pair up with 46:22.899 --> 46:26.320 cap . At the next level , the human is 46:26.330 --> 46:28.879 always in control of what to do next . 46:29.679 --> 46:31.780 But we should allow the machine to 46:31.790 --> 46:35.120 explain itself to the human , something 46:35.129 --> 46:37.389 that the machine was very good at 46:37.399 --> 46:40.310 perceiving in a given situation in a 46:40.320 --> 46:44.189 battle . But control always resides 46:44.199 --> 46:47.360 with a human as cap pointed out over , 46:47.409 --> 46:49.419 I just don't want to , I I I'm 46:49.429 --> 46:51.729 completely on Doug's point except for 46:51.739 --> 46:54.600 the word explain . Um 46:55.370 --> 46:59.209 bothers me a lot . Um Here's what , 46:59.219 --> 47:01.497 you know , I I've given you the vision , 47:01.497 --> 47:03.552 the vision is an enduring asymmetric 47:03.552 --> 47:06.479 advantage um response by I right on top 47:06.489 --> 47:09.580 of my list that being said , um my 47:09.590 --> 47:11.812 experience and Doug's experience , he's 47:11.812 --> 47:13.923 part of the people who taught me this 47:13.923 --> 47:16.580 is that quite often you can calibrate 47:16.590 --> 47:18.560 the amount of trust you give to a 47:18.570 --> 47:22.139 system based on experience versus uh 47:22.209 --> 47:25.000 explanation . In other words , my 47:25.010 --> 47:27.066 favorite example , because I spent a 47:27.066 --> 47:29.232 decade doing breast cancer detection . 47:29.232 --> 47:31.288 There's no way there's zero way that 47:31.288 --> 47:33.066 those physicians understood the 47:33.066 --> 47:34.843 statistical pattern recognition 47:34.843 --> 47:36.954 approaches . I was using um to detect 47:36.954 --> 47:39.177 breast cancers that they were missing . 47:39.177 --> 47:41.121 Um I could point to them and say , 47:41.121 --> 47:43.010 please take a second look at that 47:43.010 --> 47:45.232 location and there was no way for me to 47:45.232 --> 47:47.454 explain to them , the statistical , you 47:47.454 --> 47:49.677 know , drawing of the boundaries in the 47:49.677 --> 47:51.899 in the vector space , uh the weights of 47:51.899 --> 47:54.121 the neural net , it just wasn't , I was 47:54.121 --> 47:54.120 never going to get there . Explanations 47:54.129 --> 47:56.899 don't work . But experiences allow them 47:57.010 --> 47:58.843 in their conscious space and the 47:58.843 --> 48:00.899 quality of space to develop a mental 48:00.899 --> 48:03.066 model of when they should trust it and 48:03.066 --> 48:05.177 when they , they shouldn't trust it . 48:05.177 --> 48:07.232 And as long as I designed the system 48:07.232 --> 48:07.010 and this is where Doug was really 48:07.020 --> 48:09.199 emphasizing explanation could be no 48:09.209 --> 48:11.929 more than , than creating a system that 48:11.939 --> 48:14.320 the human can create a mental model for . 48:14.330 --> 48:16.552 So you're not explaining the details of 48:16.552 --> 48:18.663 the algorithmics . You're you in some 48:18.663 --> 48:20.959 sense uh enabled the creation of this 48:20.969 --> 48:22.439 joint model over 48:24.520 --> 48:28.429 totally agree . A cap . Can I see some ? 48:29.330 --> 48:31.949 I I agree with that but I also think uh 48:31.959 --> 48:34.250 the definitely the experience is a way 48:34.260 --> 48:36.593 to go . And I think what that does more , 48:36.593 --> 48:38.704 more than the conscious thing , is it 48:38.704 --> 48:40.629 fine tunes the experience for the 48:40.639 --> 48:44.129 unconscious ? And this is kind of AAA 48:44.139 --> 48:47.379 calibration set in and you may or may 48:47.389 --> 48:49.530 not be able to express what that 48:49.540 --> 48:52.350 numeric value is or what's contributing 48:52.360 --> 48:55.310 to it verbally , but your , your whole 48:55.320 --> 48:57.510 body is resonating right in there 48:57.520 --> 48:59.742 unconsciously with what's going on . So 48:59.750 --> 49:01.972 I agree with you and you could only get 49:01.972 --> 49:03.972 that through experience , I think . 49:03.972 --> 49:06.540 Yeah . Yeah , Robert , let me wait . 49:06.879 --> 49:08.823 Let me just respond to Robert here 49:08.823 --> 49:10.823 briefly . Keep in mind everything I 49:10.823 --> 49:13.046 said prior when you talked , I'm saying 49:13.469 --> 49:15.691 the conscious experience through that , 49:15.691 --> 49:17.580 that interaction , that conscious 49:17.580 --> 49:19.525 experience is what allowed them to 49:19.525 --> 49:21.691 create that in intuitive model , which 49:21.691 --> 49:23.858 they are then using to calibrate their 49:23.858 --> 49:26.080 trust . So , so you're , you're right . 49:26.080 --> 49:28.191 But I'm saying that that conscious is 49:28.191 --> 49:30.358 playing a role in that . I'm sorry . I 49:30.358 --> 49:32.080 agree . I agree with that . We 49:32.320 --> 49:35.229 definitely agree with cap's comments , 49:35.770 --> 49:38.760 but I don't want to all of you to think 49:38.770 --> 49:41.500 that we're gonna see explanations at 49:41.510 --> 49:45.219 the level of rules or weighted graphs 49:45.229 --> 49:47.570 and a neural net . That's the wrong 49:47.580 --> 49:50.540 kind of explanation from the machine . 49:50.600 --> 49:53.080 Back to the human . It's gotta be 49:53.090 --> 49:56.290 humanlike dialogue . That is 49:56.300 --> 49:59.699 the eco system that hey , I saw a way 49:59.709 --> 50:02.699 to avoid the missile because , but it's 50:02.709 --> 50:05.139 not gonna sit there and go rule one or 50:05.149 --> 50:09.030 two . Rule rule N that's too 50:09.040 --> 50:11.040 much in the weeds . It's gotta be a 50:11.040 --> 50:13.909 human to human like interaction even 50:13.919 --> 50:16.729 though one of the actors here is the 50:16.739 --> 50:19.750 machine . Uh oh 50:22.639 --> 50:25.360 I'm , I'm not sure where we landed on 50:25.370 --> 50:28.959 um explainability if we're pro or con . 50:28.969 --> 50:32.360 But um I'm con in terms of you're gonna 50:32.370 --> 50:34.919 use the explainability word to imply . 50:34.929 --> 50:37.096 The human has to understand that level 50:37.096 --> 50:39.373 down there , which is the algorithmics , 50:39.373 --> 50:41.429 you're , you're , you're dead in the 50:41.429 --> 50:43.207 water , uh You'll have inferior 50:43.207 --> 50:45.373 performance there . There's no way the 50:45.373 --> 50:47.596 human pilot understands that details of 50:47.596 --> 50:47.225 the deep reinforcement learning 50:47.235 --> 50:49.665 algorithms that AO is employing . That 50:49.675 --> 50:52.364 being said the fact that we can create 50:52.395 --> 50:54.804 via experiences that hey , you never 50:54.814 --> 50:56.981 get this wrong when I'm being attacked 50:56.981 --> 50:59.147 in that direction . This is you always 50:59.147 --> 51:01.092 figure out a way out of this . I'm 51:01.092 --> 51:03.092 gonna trust you . So as , as Robert 51:03.092 --> 51:05.324 points out um for people reading the 51:05.334 --> 51:07.334 screen , Max Patterson , you know , 51:07.334 --> 51:09.334 Robert points out there that , that 51:09.334 --> 51:11.556 your experiences teaches you , you know 51:11.556 --> 51:13.501 where to trust it and where not to 51:13.501 --> 51:15.556 without understanding the details of 51:15.556 --> 51:17.667 the algorithmics . And so explanation 51:17.667 --> 51:19.890 in terms of some sort of mental model . 51:19.890 --> 51:21.890 And again , I'm sorry , I always go 51:21.890 --> 51:24.056 back to breast cancer because it's the 51:24.056 --> 51:26.390 easiest way for me to talk to you . But , 51:26.390 --> 51:28.278 but when I first created my first 51:28.278 --> 51:30.445 product to detect breast cancers , the 51:30.445 --> 51:32.612 physicians hated it . You know , why , 51:32.612 --> 51:34.667 why did you call that cancer ? And I 51:34.667 --> 51:34.639 tried to explain to them , you know , 51:34.649 --> 51:36.871 decision boundaries and things and they 51:36.871 --> 51:39.149 didn't , they didn't like it . Why did , 51:39.149 --> 51:41.427 why didn't you call that cancer ? Well , 51:41.427 --> 51:43.649 you know , I mean , there's examples in 51:43.649 --> 51:45.760 the data that doesn't work . But when 51:45.760 --> 51:47.427 we spent the time to create a 51:47.427 --> 51:49.427 representation that in some sense , 51:49.427 --> 51:51.538 mimic the way humans . Oh , that's an 51:51.538 --> 51:53.538 asymmetric density . Hey , that's a 51:53.538 --> 51:55.705 cluster of micro cal when we spent the 51:55.705 --> 51:57.705 time to create representations that 51:57.705 --> 51:59.927 humans could relate to and then created 51:59.927 --> 52:01.816 a statistical pattern recognition 52:01.816 --> 52:03.871 systems using that feature set . Now 52:03.871 --> 52:03.739 all of a sudden , they could create a 52:03.750 --> 52:05.750 mental model and say you always get 52:05.750 --> 52:07.917 those . Right . I better take a second 52:07.917 --> 52:10.250 look . Oh , . There's a cancer I missed . 52:10.250 --> 52:10.030 So , although they didn't understand 52:10.040 --> 52:12.310 the algorithmics in Doug's words , they 52:12.320 --> 52:14.542 had an explanation in the sense of they 52:14.542 --> 52:16.487 had a mental model and in Robert's 52:16.487 --> 52:18.431 words , they had an experience set 52:18.431 --> 52:20.598 which they had categorized away , even 52:20.598 --> 52:22.709 though they can't articulate it . You 52:22.709 --> 52:22.520 never get those wrong . I got to take 52:22.530 --> 52:23.959 another look over . 52:26.020 --> 52:29.120 Thanks , Robert . Go ahead . Just , 52:29.129 --> 52:31.610 just to add that . I agree totally . Uh 52:31.620 --> 52:33.870 There was a paper in 2008 , I can dig 52:33.879 --> 52:37.219 it up for you . Uh And it shows that 52:37.229 --> 52:39.340 the uh uh again , I haven't read this 52:39.340 --> 52:41.562 in a few years but the , the gist of it 52:41.562 --> 52:43.959 was , they , they , they gave subjects 52:43.989 --> 52:47.620 1000 slides to watch over , I think a 52:47.629 --> 52:50.129 couple of hours , 1000 pictures 52:51.050 --> 52:53.560 and they , they were grouped in , I 52:53.570 --> 52:55.570 think eight different categories of 52:55.570 --> 52:58.409 scenes of rivers , all different rivers , 52:58.419 --> 53:00.419 scenes of a living room , different 53:00.429 --> 53:02.750 houses , scenes of a yard , all 53:02.760 --> 53:05.038 different yards and so on and so forth . 53:05.038 --> 53:07.260 Eight different categories . And they , 53:07.260 --> 53:09.371 and they had in view and the idea was 53:09.371 --> 53:11.204 push a button when you see a , a 53:11.204 --> 53:13.389 duplicate the same slide twice . In 53:13.439 --> 53:17.419 reality , the slides had various 53:17.489 --> 53:20.449 uh very subtle correlations in the 53:20.459 --> 53:22.570 sequences that were , there were some 53:22.570 --> 53:25.770 triples and uh but the , the subsists 53:25.780 --> 53:28.560 weren't told that . And so after 53:28.570 --> 53:31.360 viewing 1000 of these slides , they 53:31.370 --> 53:33.314 then had is again , this is called 53:33.314 --> 53:35.600 implicit learning . They had to uh uh 53:35.800 --> 53:37.856 put them in different categories and 53:37.856 --> 53:39.911 they couldn't . But when they tested 53:39.911 --> 53:42.340 them and , you know , here's one set of 53:42.350 --> 53:44.830 three , here's another one . Is that 53:44.840 --> 53:47.007 one familiar to you or not ? They go , 53:47.007 --> 53:49.590 yes , they could be above chance in 53:49.600 --> 53:51.656 that kind , kind of discrimination , 53:51.656 --> 53:53.711 but they couldn't say what they were 53:53.711 --> 53:55.767 really queuing in on . So implicitly 53:55.767 --> 53:57.711 learn whatever the features of the 53:57.711 --> 54:00.250 different categories of scenes of , of 54:00.260 --> 54:02.260 slides that they saw and they could 54:02.260 --> 54:04.093 somehow generate the key is they 54:04.093 --> 54:06.719 implicitly learn across categories . 54:06.850 --> 54:09.129 Unconscious , implicit learning can be 54:09.139 --> 54:12.870 categorical in its , in its processing . 54:12.879 --> 54:14.879 And to me , that was a real amazing 54:14.879 --> 54:17.610 fine . I think Robert , I think that's 54:17.620 --> 54:20.429 a perfect uh transition point to a big 54:20.439 --> 54:22.810 problem that I have in this document . 54:22.820 --> 54:24.820 And also honestly with your field , 54:24.820 --> 54:26.820 with my field , with my work , with 54:26.820 --> 54:30.649 your work , um this distinction even 54:30.659 --> 54:33.300 between implicit and explicit and you 54:33.310 --> 54:36.020 just now used implicit synonymous with 54:36.030 --> 54:38.086 unconscious . And here's where we're 54:38.086 --> 54:40.252 getting into problems . If we're , you 54:40.252 --> 54:42.474 know , it's like , well , then if we're 54:42.474 --> 54:44.697 defining conscious as the generation of 54:44.697 --> 54:46.641 qualia . So are we saying in those 54:46.641 --> 54:48.863 representations , there was no qualia ? 54:48.863 --> 54:50.919 And that's really , I mean , I don't 54:50.919 --> 54:53.340 expect anyone to have the , this is the , 54:53.350 --> 54:55.709 this is where an autonomous rise in 54:55.719 --> 54:57.949 volume three . I think this tension 54:57.959 --> 55:00.126 that we're setting up and that we talk 55:00.126 --> 55:02.070 about in this meeting . I think we 55:02.070 --> 55:04.237 could we could potentially do better . 55:04.237 --> 55:06.570 But that's , that's where I think a big , 55:06.570 --> 55:06.489 big fundamental problem is with um this 55:06.500 --> 55:09.909 field . Um Let , let me say something 55:09.919 --> 55:12.429 about that just real quickly . So , um 55:12.580 --> 55:14.636 yeah , that , that , that's just one 55:14.636 --> 55:16.919 just too conscious unconscious that we 55:16.929 --> 55:18.985 got , we've got to get real clean on 55:18.985 --> 55:20.929 how we're going to use those terms 55:20.929 --> 55:22.985 going forward . And so I , I've been 55:22.985 --> 55:24.873 holding back waiting for Robert's 55:24.873 --> 55:24.709 presentation to the group and I think 55:24.719 --> 55:26.608 we can nail it at that point . So 55:26.608 --> 55:28.663 that's coming , I think we're OK . I 55:28.663 --> 55:30.886 think we're on a path to clean that one 55:30.886 --> 55:33.163 up . Uh That being said , II , I can't , 55:33.163 --> 55:35.386 I've got to respond to what Robert said 55:35.386 --> 55:37.552 because I think it's sort of important 55:37.552 --> 55:39.608 for people to walk away from so that 55:39.608 --> 55:41.830 when you're getting all these images in 55:41.830 --> 55:44.052 uh you may not be attending to the fact 55:44.052 --> 55:46.219 that this is a member of that category 55:46.219 --> 55:45.840 or this category . But you did 55:45.850 --> 55:48.017 consciously uh you , you took the data 55:48.017 --> 55:50.979 in the fact that that created a link 55:50.989 --> 55:53.489 sequence uh that , that tied to those 55:53.500 --> 55:55.729 other categories and you didn't attend 55:55.739 --> 55:58.080 to the leak sequence consciously 55:58.090 --> 56:00.201 doesn't mean that it wasn't evoked in 56:00.201 --> 56:02.257 your knowledge representation . So I 56:02.257 --> 56:04.201 think I can account for everything 56:04.201 --> 56:06.423 Robert said by saying that conscious uh 56:06.423 --> 56:08.534 uh experiences led to the creation of 56:08.534 --> 56:10.534 the knowledge which allowed them to 56:10.534 --> 56:12.757 respond later that I'd seen that versus 56:12.757 --> 56:14.701 not seeing that even though it's a 56:14.701 --> 56:16.868 category that wasn't explicitly called 56:16.868 --> 56:18.590 out as what , what it was they 56:18.590 --> 56:20.812 perceived . So I think we're , we're on 56:20.812 --> 56:23.034 a good path to sort of clean this up is 56:23.034 --> 56:25.257 what my big point and , and uh Burt put 56:25.257 --> 56:24.905 something in the chat for people who 56:24.915 --> 56:27.082 didn't see it about the explainability 56:27.082 --> 56:29.760 over the path . I was just gonna say , 56:29.770 --> 56:32.290 um , just real quickly . Um I think 56:32.300 --> 56:34.300 there's other paradigms of implicit 56:34.300 --> 56:37.840 learning , uh that are not so easily 56:37.850 --> 56:40.830 dissected the way you did where people , 56:40.840 --> 56:42.729 you know , just have no conscious 56:42.729 --> 56:44.840 knowledge at all of what's going on . 56:44.840 --> 56:46.451 And yet they pick up on very 56:46.451 --> 56:48.562 complicated cues and all and they can 56:48.562 --> 56:50.729 respond to them . But they consciously 56:50.729 --> 56:52.840 have , they have no idea what they're 56:52.840 --> 56:55.007 doing . But I agree with you . There's 56:55.007 --> 56:54.750 so much different definitions of 56:54.760 --> 56:56.870 consciousness is when you're doing 56:56.879 --> 56:58.712 unconscious processing intuitive 56:58.712 --> 57:00.768 cognition , let's say that's not the 57:00.768 --> 57:02.879 same as when you're asleep at night . 57:03.449 --> 57:05.449 So right there , I told you those , 57:05.449 --> 57:07.671 they're fundamentally different because 57:07.671 --> 57:09.560 one is actually processing things 57:09.560 --> 57:11.560 you're not aware of the when you're 57:11.560 --> 57:13.727 asleep . So to me , I agree with you , 57:13.727 --> 57:15.782 but I can't imagine how you're gonna 57:15.782 --> 57:17.727 really clean this up very far . It 57:17.727 --> 57:21.280 seems really messy . We got it , we got 57:21.379 --> 57:23.490 the time we get you the Nobel Prize , 57:23.490 --> 57:25.712 we'll have it all clean . So we'll pass 57:25.712 --> 57:27.899 through the Nobel . But I remember 57:28.010 --> 57:30.510 multiple times hanging out with a dear 57:30.520 --> 57:34.340 buddy of mine , Zen and Felician and he 57:34.350 --> 57:37.219 and I always love the fact that 57:37.659 --> 57:41.290 self-aware is a wonderful way to 57:41.439 --> 57:44.149 color different ways we talk about 57:44.159 --> 57:47.909 attending to something or not 57:47.919 --> 57:49.752 attending , but it's still being 57:49.752 --> 57:53.479 attended to . And in that 57:53.850 --> 57:57.820 range from almost zero Asymptote 57:58.050 --> 58:00.979 all the way out to fully uh full 58:00.989 --> 58:04.239 bandwidth attention . It's still being 58:04.250 --> 58:06.909 attended to . We just don't realize it 58:06.919 --> 58:09.590 in the way we like to talk about it as 58:09.600 --> 58:13.439 humans or as cognitive psychologists , 58:13.939 --> 58:17.189 I wear two hats . One of as uh 58:17.739 --> 58:20.030 many call it computer science . I would 58:20.040 --> 58:23.919 like to claim of it should be 58:23.929 --> 58:27.229 computing science . And I also 58:27.479 --> 58:30.199 did my other part of my phd in 58:30.209 --> 58:33.820 cognitive side . But I would 58:33.830 --> 58:37.590 argue we could clean this up by maybe 58:37.600 --> 58:40.600 thinking it this way . It's all in 58:40.610 --> 58:43.340 there . We just don't , we're not fully 58:43.350 --> 58:46.679 aware of it at the moment of it going 58:46.689 --> 58:49.350 through what's really being attended to . 58:49.500 --> 58:53.219 But nonetheless , we seem to learn its 58:53.229 --> 58:56.060 knowledge , new knowledge , but it's at 58:56.070 --> 58:58.379 a level that we don't see on the radar 58:58.389 --> 59:01.320 screen as a human normally does , but 59:01.330 --> 59:03.110 it's still happening within the 59:03.120 --> 59:05.510 chemistry , Kevin , within the 59:05.520 --> 59:08.290 chemistry of the human brain . It's 59:08.300 --> 59:11.669 still being encoded and all of a sudden 59:11.939 --> 59:14.209 we become aware of it either because we 59:14.219 --> 59:17.580 wake up or somehow it comes up to the 59:17.590 --> 59:20.340 surface a bit more and bang would go . 59:20.350 --> 59:22.489 Oh , now I see how to solve it . No , 59:22.500 --> 59:24.556 you already have solved it . It just 59:24.556 --> 59:28.280 didn't register fully yet as what we 59:28.290 --> 59:31.020 call self aware in the way of humans , 59:31.030 --> 59:33.570 think about it . But I really think the 59:33.580 --> 59:36.729 machines are working hard to encode it 59:36.739 --> 59:39.520 at a much lower level . Nonetheless , 59:39.550 --> 59:43.090 thus , nonetheless , Chia is all 59:43.100 --> 59:46.360 throughout the brain . Not just the 59:46.370 --> 59:48.560 attended levels over . 59:49.709 --> 59:52.820 Mm . Yeah . Let's start there next week . 59:52.830 --> 59:55.052 There's too much to unpack there . Uh , 59:55.052 --> 59:57.530 it's one come back and unpack it 59:57.540 --> 59:59.800 sometime . Yeah . Yeah . So I think 59:59.810 --> 01:00:01.866 we'll start at this slide and set up 01:00:01.866 --> 01:00:03.921 that tension . Uh But Robert maybe a 01:00:03.921 --> 01:00:06.032 final thought because your name is on 01:00:06.032 --> 01:00:08.088 the line or maybe we could just pick 01:00:08.088 --> 01:00:10.032 this up next week because it's 102 01:00:10.032 --> 01:00:12.399 Easter too . Watch Sean . Yeah . 01:00:13.610 --> 01:00:15.777 Sorry . All right , colleagues . Let's 01:00:15.777 --> 01:00:17.777 cut this off for today . We'll pick 01:00:17.777 --> 01:00:20.360 this up from here and then , um we'll 01:00:20.370 --> 01:00:24.040 spend some time with Kane and bet next 01:00:24.050 --> 01:00:25.939 week to talk about the flexible 01:00:25.949 --> 01:00:29.379 behaviors that we need to be able to 01:00:29.389 --> 01:00:33.229 function in this uh uh a two ad 01:00:33.239 --> 01:00:36.090 environment or DDIL is uh the new 01:00:36.100 --> 01:00:38.156 phrase , I think whatever Scott said 01:00:38.156 --> 01:00:40.350 earlier . So , colleagues , uh this is 01:00:40.360 --> 01:00:42.810 great . Um And I'll see you all next 01:00:42.820 --> 01:00:45.169 week . See you , buddy .